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National Consultant to perform additional calculation of demographic indicators in regional aspectVacancy Number: Pr13/00340
Background
The population of the Republic of Moldova, just like in the EU countries, faces a progressive ageing process. This change is a result of a significant and constant increase in life expectancy at birth, combined with decreased fertility rate. A method to illustrate this structural change in population would be the demographic dependency ratio, which analyses the relation between the number of elderly people and active-age population. The analysis of the demographic situation shows that there are significant differences among the main demographic indicators in territorial profile. Having determined values for every administrative territory, it is possible to carry out the dynamics analysis of the used indicators and to classify the efforts’ results and applied resources. Based on the Government Decision No. 768 as of 12 October 2011, the National Strategic Program in the area of demographic security in the Republic of Moldova (2011-2025) was approved. The respective program provides for transparent monitoring and objective fulfillment of the established tasks and the way of work at the national, municipal, and district levels. Quantitative and qualitative statistical indicators corresponding to the concerned objectives, tools and specific procedures shall be used within the monitoring system, according to the provisions of the Program and the recommendations of the scientific project “Modeling the demographic security level for the Republic of Moldova”. The statistical reports and information, prepared at different stages, regarding the carrying out of the Program shall be provided to the Government, the National Commission for Population and Development, to local public administration authorities, general public, including through available web pages and information newsletters. When monitoring the results, a set of indicators shall be used to measure the progress level in carrying out the main tasks related to ensuring the gradual establishment of demographic development conditions. For this purpose, it was envisaged to calculate the benchmark limit-values of the demographic security indicators by certain stages, which would characterize the demographic security/insecurity level in all the administrative-territorial units. The statistical indicators regarding the general characteristic of the demographic situation at the national level, based on the list set in the above Program, will be submitted annually to the Ministry of Labor, Social Protection and Family (MLSPF) by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) within the deadlines set in the Annual Program of Statistical Activities, approved by the Government. The evaluation of the impact induces by the actions undertaken at the territorial level, following the strategic objectives of the Program, will be carried out by applying the toolkit, which would determine the value of the territorial integral demographic security indicator for every district and municipality (hereinafter referred as the TIDSI). By calculating and analyzing the TIDSI and its evolution, it would be possible to assess the social-demographic situation, measuring the aggregated impact of the social, economic, and demographic policies within the scope of the administrative-territorial unit. The territorial integral demographic security indicator represents the sum of the aggregated indicators from the areas with the highest weight of influence on demographic security, calculated on the basis of the sets of selected indicators. The block of demographic indicators, besides the general indicators regarding the population evolution, provides for calculating the sets of additional indicators at the territorial level, namely:
Scope of work
The purpose of the assignment is to ensure the completeness and quality of statistical data on demographic phenomena in regional perspective through undertaking calculations of demographic statistical indicators in regional profile. To address the afore mentioned issue and to ensure the effective completion of the data collection effort undertaken at the regional level, the Joint UN Project on Strengthening the National Statistical System of the Republic of Moldova is seeking to hire a national consultant to undertake calculations of demographic statistical indicators in regional profile. For detailed information on Tasks and Responsibilities, Expected Deliverables please refer to Annex – Terms of Reference. Requirements for experience
Documents to be included
Interested individual consultants must submit the following documents/information to demonstrate their qualifications:
Financial proposal
The financial proposal shall specify a total lump sum amount, and payment terms around specific and measurable (qualitative and quantitative) deliverables (i.e. whether payments fall in installments or upon completion of the entire contract). Payments are based upon output, i.e. upon delivery of the services specified in the TOR. In order to assist the requesting unit in the comparison of financial proposals, the financial proposal will include a breakdown of this lump sum amount (including all related costs e.g. fees, phone calls etc.) and the number of anticipated working days. The consultant shall bare costs for all supplies needed for data collection and data processing including possession of his own personal computer.
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